Thursday, June 13, 2013

Daily Briefing For Thursday, June 13, 2013

Where To Begin?

Most of the state legislatures I track for work have ended their sessions, but that didn't result in a corresponding drop in my work load.  To the contrary - the tornadoes in Oklahoma have created some challenges for the insurance industry, and the summer brings with it a full dance card of various insurance association annual meetings where my attendance is strongly encouraged.  Plus, this is a month of vacations for me, adding to the cumulative time out of the office the last few weeks.

A lot has happened from a preparedness perspective, both globally and at home.  The New York Times reports this evening that Syria has crossed the proverbial red line by allegedly using chemical weapons against the rebels.  There's much talk about the U.S. increasing our involvement in the conflict, which would put us on the same side as Al Qaeda. 

Yes, that Al Qaeda.  The terror cell responsible for the burgeoning growth of the TSA with the concomitant airport gropings, naked body scanners, and large scale ammunition purchases will now be our ally of sorts in the region.  You cannot make this stuff up.

The cynic in me says this Syrian issue could not be timed better if it were intentional, which raises the question if this issue is now on page A1 of the Times in large part to serve as a distraction from the crisis du jour at the White House.  Perhaps. 

I'll leave it to others to drill down into the case for having our military blow stuff up in Syria.  We need to address a more pressing question in the preparedness community: what do Syria, the IRS scandal, the NSA scandal, and Benghazi have to do with the typical American trying to be better prepared for a wide spectrum of emergencies?

Nothing. 

These events serve only as confirmation that our suspicions about the unchecked growth of government were not the stuff of overnight radio talk shows.  This shouldn't come as a surprise to any of you.  

Continue your preparedness efforts.  Try to get others to do the same.  As much as I'd like to try to get people to pay attention to the news take action, I realize things like the NBA Finals, the Stanley Cup and TV shows like The Voice are far more important to the typical citizen than what's going on in our Republic.  I will do what I can.  I hope you will, too.


My Plans For The Summer

I gave up all sodas on May 23rd.  It took a full four days to detox off of Diet Mountain Dew.  I'm 21 days soda sober.

I've greatly reduced my calorie intake.  I've dramatically increased my cardio workouts.  I've eliminated candy bars and most other empty carbs.

And so this new effort - to clean up the diet and lose weight - is my top priority this summer.  I know I've said stuff like this before, but I cannot continue on the course I was on.  My body simply won't let me.

The great thing about getting in better shape as part of your preparedness strategy is that it need not cost you anything.  Eating less and walking more costs you nothing, and it's one of the best things you can do to be better prepared.

My other goal is to learn more about alternative energy.  I have struggled with understanding the science behind this, and if you're going to have alt energy as part of your plan, you need to understand it. 

I'm hoping that by selecting two goals - and only two - it will better enable me to meet them, rather than having a long list of things I want to accomplish.





Monday, May 20, 2013

Daily Briefing for Monday, May 20, 2013

Psalms 46:10

"Be still, and know that I am God."

Tonight, this verse seems quite appropriate, given the last 24 hours in Oklahoma.  We all struggle to understand why such horrific events happen, especially when they result in the death of children.

I've often wondered whether it is easier for people of faith to deal with these situations that is for agnostics and atheists.  I suspect that in the end, we all find our own way to mentally comprehend and emotionally heal from such events, regardless of our choice of faith.

One of the things that heartens me at times like this is knowing that there are others who disrupt their work and personal lives to provide assistance to others in need.  As we see first responders and other emergency volunteers rush into harm's way this evening, we take comfort knowing that people will be there to help us when we need it.

Be still.  The Lord is with us.




Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Daily Briefing for Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Paul's note - Last summer, I asked Jordan to share some of his thoughts on hurricane preparedness, having lived in South Florida for essentially all of his life.  This is a reprint of last year's article.

He and I did time together at the University of Miami School of Law many years ago. This isn't your traditional "get some bottled water and a battery radio" guidance. This is far more in depth; you won't read many of these things on the basic preparedness websites. I appreciate his contribution to the body of literature on this subject.

Jordan From The 305 On Hurricane Preparedness

Paul asked me to pen a guest column about preparing for hurricanes. I have a little experience in the area, having spent virtually my entire life in the suburbs just south of Miami, Florida, having lived through three direct hits (Andrew in 1992, Katrina and Wilma in 2005) and having gone through the drill many other times only thankfully to see the storms veer away at the last moment. My hurricane plan is the product of 13 years of thought and practice. This column is NOT a recitation of that plan. Rather, I will try to hit some highlights, which hopefully are not new to you, but if they are, hopefully will augment your already-robust hurricane preparation plan.

First, two very general, but important, concepts about storm prep:

Make certain you have sufficient quantities of the necessary supplies (batteries, food, water, etc.) before any watches and warnings are posted. This especially applies to any needed medications; always make sure you have a week or more supply at hand. Fill up at least one automobile’s tank with gas when a watch is issued for your area. Also, well in advance of any storm make sure needed equipment (drills for installing or removing shutters, lanterns, etc.) works and is charged or has sufficient batteries to run for an extended period. If like me you are stay prepared throughout the year, hurricane season involves no big gearing up, except maybe for a few extra bags of ice in the freezer. If not, make sure your list is all checked off by the beginning of the season and that you keep an eye on the level of needed consumables. The absolute last place you want to be right before the storm hits is out the streets fighting the crowds for the scarce supplies left. We’ve all seen those images on TV; don’t be one of those people.

Have in place a methodical, organized plan for prepping your house, inside and out. Order your activities to conserve time and effort. If you have the manpower, divide up the activities. For example, my general plan is as follows: (i) plug in all needed devices (phones, laptops, etc.) to charge; (ii) close the accordion and colonial shutters that cover most of our windows first, securing the majority of the openings, (iii) clean off the patio and clean out the yard, placing the items inside the house, (iv) install the panels over the windows and doors on our patio; (v) put up the panels over the other doors (always leave two exits, one of which can be a garage door you can manually open); (vi) do one last sweep of the outside and (vii) help with the inside prep my wife and kids have already started. Naturally, the order of your house prep needs to fit your situation, including manpower available, size and complexity of your living arrangements, and time available before the storm approaches. Start your prep as far in advance as practicable; we usually start once the storm warning is posted. You want to be fully completed, inside and out, at least an hour or two before the first outer bands reach your area.


Here are a few things I highly recommend you either add to your storm prep plan if they’re not part of it already:

  • Take photos of your house, inside and out, AFTER you have completed your preparations. You now have a record of your property’s condition right before landfall and proof that you put up your shutters and did all other things required by your windstorm policy. Keep the camera charged and ready for the“after” photos, in the event your house or any of your property sustains damage. Take photos of the damage as soon it is safe to go outside, to help preserve your claim. I would also take photos of any emergency repairs you need to make as well.
  • Keep PDFs of all important documents (insurance policies, etc.) in an easy-to-find folder on your PC. Before the storm hits, place that folder on portable storage media (CD, DVD, SD card, flash drive) and store it safely (preferably in a waterproof container in your“go bag”). This involves scanning and properly filing the docs as they come in; I scan all important documents because I’m more likely to find the PDF on my PC than the paper original in the stack in the corner of my office.
  • Clean up your house. Run the dishwasher. Run the washing machine. Pick up stuff off of the floors. A clean house is easier and safer to navigate in the dark (you don’t want to trip on a toy left out and turn your ankle while the storm is raging; been there, done that). Most likely you will be without power for several days; piles of dirty dishes and dirty clothes begin to stink pretty quickly in a hot and shuttered house (trust me on this one).

  • Charge up all needed electronic devices (phones, tablets, laptops) and leave them plugged in as long as possible before the storm hits. Make sure all battery-powered devices (radios, lanterns, fans) have good batteries and work after being in storage for months. Keep an old corded phone handset and plug it in the phone jack in or close to the room where you intend to ride out the storm; our modern cordless phones stop working once the power goes out.
  • Pick out the few plug-in devices you will use during the storm while you have power (we use one TV and one laptop) and unplug all the rest from their wall sockets. As soon as power goes out, unplug those you were using as well. TVs, computers, etc. can’t fried by a surge if they aren’t plugged in.
  • Turn your AC down really low and run it constantly for several hours before the storm hits. Getting the temperature inside as low as possible will keep things comfortable for a bit longer once the power goes out. Don’t worry about the added electrical usage; you’ll probably recoup it and more for the few days you’ll be without power.
  • Keep a “rabbit ears” TV antenna in storage. Most of us get our TV programming through either satellite or cable services, both of which are susceptible to disruption by a storm. While you may not be able to watch your favorite premium-tier programs over the air, you will be able to keep informed about recovery efforts, local alerts, etc. after the storm until your provider gets things back online (which could take weeks if you have a downed dish or cable line). You don’t need a special antenna for the recently-mandated digital standard; just make certain your TV has a digital tuner (I believe most TVs made in the last 5 years or so do). The antenna also helps out if, as recently happened to us, your provider and a local station get in a contractual squabble (we lost our local FOX affiliate for a week on DirecTV during the NFL playoffs but I saw the games in beautiful HD using my antenna).

  • Once the lights go out, don’t use an electric lantern in each room. Find the place in your house (usually a hallway) where one decent lantern will provide ample light to safely guide the way for the areas where you need to be (mostly the bedrooms). Have everyone carry a flashlight, just in case they need to go off the lighted path or the primary lantern fails. Have a backup lantern ready. Using one lantern at a time stretches your battery supply, which, given the current state of our electric grid, you may need to last for a while after a storm of any strength.
  • Put a cooler with ice, bottled water, sports drinks, etc. in a convenient spot in the house and use it once the power goes out instead of opening and closing your now-dead fridge and freezer. You’ll have to ditch everything anyways (leading to a really interesting post-storm smorgasbord meal cooked on the gas grill), but keeping the doors closed helps preserve the food a bit longer. We also keep many frozen water bottles of different sizes, which we stick in the fridge to help keep it cold once the power goes out. They also work really well cooling you down when applied to the back of your neck, a welcome feeling after hours of cutting up and moving downed tree limbs and other debris the day after the storm.



Here are a few things I recommend not doing:
  • Don’t throw your patio furniture in the pool. It sounds like a good idea but it is a massive bitch to drag it out of the deep end a few days later in the pounding sun. Find a spot for it in your garage or elsewhere in your house where it will fit.
  • Don’t tape up your windows. You should have hurricane shutters and/or impact windows. Making pretty patterns with tape on your windows offers no protection and makes an utter mess of your windows that is very hard to remove, especially after being baked on by the sun for a few weeks or months.

  • Don’t have a “hurricane party.” Once you’re hunkered down, waiting for the inevitable, do not give in to temptation to get plastered. So much can (and very well may) happen during a storm that you will need your full faculties. A hurricane is not the time for poor decision-making due to alcohol. I’m not saying you can’t have a post-prep beer or drink, but keep it light, for yourself and your family.

The news folks prattle on as to whether this year will be a good or bad hurricane season; I always say that “a bad hurricane season is when a storm hits you.” So, I wish everyone a good hurricane season and hope you don’t have to put any of the above into action. However, it is always important to be prepared, because odds are it will be a bad season for at least some of us.

Monday, May 6, 2013

Daily Briefing for Monday, May 6, 2013

On Television Tonight Talking About Prepping

Well, if I hadn't outed myself sufficiently before now, I did it in a big way on the 10 o'clock news this evening.  KEYE ran this story, featuring yours truly.

I'm sure a number of you are wondering why I'd go on television and provide details about my plans, violating every OPSEC rule in the book.  The truth of the matter is that I'm quite open about my efforts.  Many, many years ago, I decided to be out and proud so to speak.  There were plenty of folks who were both extreme and vocal in their preparedness efforts.  I felt like there should be someone who lived like I lived - in the 'burbs, with a normal job, with regular responsibilities - encouraging others to prepare.

For those of you who aren't sold on my strategy yet, think of it this way.  After a two to three week emergency - like a post-hurricane environment - if you're still able to function in your own home, people are going to rapidly pick up on the fact you stocked up, especially if they didn't.  No one seems to get that point: by being prepared in a grid down environment, you will invariably out yourself.

Whether to be open about your efforts is a personal choice, and I respect those who do so quietly.  I understand their concerns.  Hell, I may be wrong for outing myself in the end.  But someone has to take the lead here, set an example, and show the world that you can be prepared and not live in a buried shipping container 80 miles west of No Where, Texas.

One final note - the reporter was fantastic and really took the story seriously, and for that I will always be grateful.  This is a credit not only to her professionalism and objectivity, but also to the fact that prepping is becoming more mainstream now.  We are the trendy ones now! 

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Daily Briefing for Sunday, May 5, 2013

Foot Coming Off The Accelerator

As the legislatures in the states to which I am assigned enter their last month of session, I can feel in many ways that my work pace is slowing down, which is good.  I really like my job, but the busy season is both busy and a full season.  Texas, Oklahoma and Louisiana remain in session, all of whom will shut it down around late May and early June.

I'm already making plans as to what I need to do this summer once we're out of session.  My list of projects, both work and preparedness related, is starting to get long.  But I am looking forward to taking on both.


On West

I had just posted my last blog piece the evening of April 17.  Moments later, I learned of the explosion in West, Texas. 

With two disasters hours apart - Boston and West - we are once again reminded of the need to be prepared in any environment in which we may find ourselves.  The small town of West, with a population of 2,674, suffered a catastrophic explosion, killing a large portion of its volunteer fire department roster.

I visited West the following Sunday in my role as an advocate for the insurance industry.  I wanted to see first hand how insurers were doing at their mobile claims sites.  I was fortunate enough to hook up with Brian, who regularly volunteers his time with Team Rubicon, when I first got to town.  Brian arrived in town within hours of the explosion, and his group was tasked with setting up a command center for the Texas Department of Emergency Management.  Over 72  hours later, Brian was still on scene, helping transition emergency management duties to the state employees.

There are lessons we can learn from this small town.  We should banish from our minds that "bad things cannot happen here," wherever "here" is.  Disasters can happen in Boston, in West, and any town in between.  We should learn to be prepared to deal with emergencies at any time, in any location.  This means making sure we have first aid supplies on us and the training to use them.  It also means we need to be prepared to be self-sufficient for a period of time.


Prepping Fallacies


SWAT Magazine has become a prominent voice for preparedness over the last few years.  They have not shied away from taking positions rather controversial to this community, and I appreciate that eve though I don't always agree.

The magazine's June issue is one of many issues that will no doubt stir up some controversy.  In an article entitled "Prepping Fallacies," writer Brent T. Wheat raises seven points of contention with his fellow peppers, to wit:

1. There is no conspiracy. Wheat unloads a high capacity magazine of vitriol on this, the first point of his article.  "This point will undoubtedly elicit some drool-soaked mail," he begins, "but I stand firm in my conviction - there is no grand plan to control your life."

He then asserts "there are small groups of bad people conspiring in government, the media, religion, banking, [and] large corporations."   His theory is that despite these small group conspiracies, the world is simply too random of a place to foster large scale ones.  In his mind, these groups are only focused "on their own self-interest instead of yours."

Wheat's glaring contradiction - claiming there are no conspiracies except "for small groups who are conspiring in government, the media, religion, banking, [and] large corporations" - completely undermines the point he is trying to assert here.  Regardless of whether you believe in "conspiracy theories" as designated by the intelligentsia, I don't think you get to claim there are no conspiracies except for little ones. 

And by the way, for those of you who don't believe there are not small groups of powerful people meeting quietly, making decisions that affect all of us, I suggest you spend twenty minutes this weekend to watch this CBC News documentary and reach your own conclusions (thanks to Jerid for sharing):




2. The world isn't going to go poof!  I tend to agree with his assertion that any full blown doomsday scenario won't happen overnight.  Then he adds this gem: "the obvious exception would be large (typically urban) areas of 'have-nots.'  Considering they often torch their own neighborhoods merely to celebrate playoff games, you don't want to be within the same zip code on the day the government subsidy checks don't arrive."  

I fear his exception may swallow the rule: government assistance recipients are no longer found in a handful of urban zip codes.  When you consider the burgeoning Social Security disability and retiree rolls across all socioeconomic groups, and the utter lack of preparedness in even nice zip codes (the dumpster diving for food right after Hurricane Sandy comes to mind), if there should be a disruption in government benefits, the trouble won't be limited to the bad side of town.

3. You won't go it alone.  He nails this one.  You will need a team.  Doing it alone will be virtually impossible.

4. Stop pestering people.  I guess some of you out there proselytizing to create converts to Prepperism.  If you are, stop doing that.  Everyone hates that guy.  Just lead by example. 

5. Don't let prepping become a hobby.  I think what he's saying here is not to become consumed by your efforts.  For some of us, that train left a long time ago.  I do think he's right here, up to a point - to the extent you can take up hobbies like gardening, electrical projects, amateur radio, your hobbies can help hone your preparedness efforts.

6. Look at the big picture.  This is another point where his message loses me, but I think what he's trying to say here is to keep things simple and avoid the exotic.  Having a super-duper alternative medicine in case you become infected by some rare flu strain may be a good idea, but if in doing so you are neglecting more basic preparedness efforts, it's best to reconsider your priorities.

7. Stop worrying and enjoy life.  Columnist Dave Barry once wrote "there's a fine line between a hobby and a mental illness."  There's a lot of truth to that.  And I agree with Wheat on this point as well - the point of preparing is so that you can enjoy life, with minimal worry and fear.  If you constantly live in fear because of your preparedness efforts, you're defeating the purpose of preparing in the first place.

Boost TV Ratings - Put A Prepper On During Sweeps!

I did an interview here at the house with a local TV station this past week on suburban preparedness.  They are running the episode this week in an effort to improve their odds during the quarterly "sweeps" week which begins today.  I am told it the interview will be on line as well.  I will share it with you when I have more information.



Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Daily Briefing for Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Take The High Road

I should be working tonight, having been out of the office most of yesterday and not getting home until 2:30 AM this morning from a long night at the Legislature.  But I need a break from the nuances of permissive driver exclusion legislation (don't ask). 

Several years ago, my boss at the time and still good friend to this day, Becky, talked to me on the phone one afternoon as I was leaving an informal mediation from my divorce.  I won't bore you with the details of the conversation, but something she said to me really resonated: "Paul, no matter what, take the high road.  You won't regret it."

I've taken this advice to heart over the years, and ironically gave it back to her once several years after the fact.  It's good guidance for us.

Today's vote in the U.S. Senate reminded me again that we need to take the high road.  Immediately after it became apparent that the more restrictive amendments to the gun control bill would not be adopted, my Facebook news feed began blowing up with people celebrating and people lamenting the results.  Like most if not all of you, I was relieved to see the more restrictive amendments fail.  I remain convinced these provisions not only curtail our constitutional rights, they would also be ineffectual in reducing violent crime.

Yet gloating or spiking the ball this evening doesn't seem appropriate in many ways.  As a Libertarian, I don't get any joy out of seeing liberty-limiting legislation fail; I only get a sense of relief that constitutional rights were protected.  As an owner of many of the items these amendments sought to outlaw, I'm relieved that I can continue to enjoy using these items.  As a human being, I'm reflective on what we can do as a society to reduce the likelihood of active shooter situations.

I would submit to you that tonight is not an evening to celebrate.  It is an evening to reflect.  Think back to how you felt in January of this year - just three months ago - when it became clear there would be a massive effort to restrict the Second Amendment.  Many gun owners were terrified at the prospect of not being able to purchase the weapons of their choice.  Ammo prices entered and remain at stratospheric levels.  It was very bleak for us, to say the least.

Gloating over today's votes won't win us any friends in the anti-gun crowd.  To be sure, many of those folks aren't going to be won over, no matter what.  But there's still a large number of people out there - those who don't have strong feelings on this issue either way - that we need to be reaching out to.  Rather than spiking the ball and saying negative things about legislators who sponsored restrictive legislation, we need to be inviting those folks on the fence to go to the range with us and encouraging them to pursue whatever interest they have in firearms.  This is especially true with women.  Female enrollment in gun classes has exploded over the last few years and continues to remain strong.  If momma gets to go to the range, it won't be an issue for the kids to do so in the future.

As I said back in January, we need to continue to respect the Constitution and be nice people.  And that means taking the high road.


Boston Bombing

I will admit - I'm not sure what I am supposed to think or say about this.  I know that may sound odd.  Of course we all can agree it's a terrible event with heart breaking injuries and loss of innocent lives.  We all can see the goodness in those who rushed in to help and take the high road as discussed above. 

I get all of that. 

Yet I find myself pushing my emotions aside and yearning to be more objective about the situation.  By that I mean I keep asking myself things like:
  • What does this mean going forward?  Can we expect more interaction with TSA out in public?
  • What should we think of the media and their rush to speculate this was the work of some one from the political right?
  • Did 9/11 de-sensitize us to the point we can see what happen on Monday and go about our lives as if it took place in the Middle East?
  • How can I do a better job of making sure I have an IFAK (individual first aid kit) near me at all times?
These are some of the things I think we need to be asking at some point.  Monday's bombing was a stark reminder that we are not immune from terrorism, and that being prepared to deal with it isn't some cute hobby.  It may be what keeps us alive if we ever experience it ourselves.

Saturday, April 13, 2013

Daily Briefing for Saturday, April 13, 2013

Do Facts and Data Matter?  What About Sourcing?

The obvious answer for most folks these questions is "yes," although we often demonstrate that's not the case.

Take this piece that's making the rounds from Salon.com entitled "Tennessee: Ayn Rand's Vision of Paradise."  I knew instantly this article was going to be a hit piece on the Volunteer State.

The story goes downhill quickly from there.  Writes Les Leopold:

As you would expect, [Tennessee's last place ranking in per capita tax revenue] translates into hard times for its public school systems, which rank 48th in school revenues per student and 45th in teacher salaries. 

Never mind the fact that using the data linked to in the article, Tennessee average teacher salaries were only $500 less than those in Arkansas,  and $1,200 above those in West Virginia (page 36,  Table C-9 of the pdf if you're checking my homework) ...and yet those two states made the top ten states with the best public schools as scored by Education Week.  And of course, we should ignore the fact Tennessee's cost of living is ten points below the national average.

Leopold goes on to add:

By the way, the Tennessee legislature is lily-white: One percent is Latino, 6% African American and 91% Caucasian. But the complexion of poverty is darker. Nearly 80 percent of Tennessee’s poor children are black and brown.

And there you go:  the problems facing Tennessee are caused by the fact its legislature is predominately white.  Followed to its logical conclusion, states and cities where the governing bodies are not predominantly white would have much better results. Places like Detroit, which not so long ago had the nation's worst drop out rate, according to NPR and where only seven percent of its eight graders could read at grade level. And by the way, while I am picking on Detroit (the birth place of my father, I might add), their per pupil funding levels were between $2,000 and $5,000 above the national average

Just in case you're wondering, I'm not blaming the failing school system in Detroit on the racial make up of its board of education.  The board's racial makeup, along with the racial make up of the Tennessee legislature, has absolutely no bearing on the quality of policy decisions they make.

Oh, by the way - in case keeping score matters - Tennessee public schools were ranked 21st in a recent study

I could go on here.  And if you want to blow up my Facebook page or the comments section below taking issue with my criticism of the Salon piece, that's fine.  I'm not going to argue with you, because I'm trying to make a bigger point here, which is this:  we get to the correct conclusions and solutions much quicker when we are willing to be intellectually honest and look at all of the data.  Note I'm not claiming Tennessee is perfect; every state has its problems.  Nor am I claiming Tennessee doesn't consider some really bad legislation from time to time; again, every state does.  But I am claiming that pieces like this one from Salon don't drill down into the data deeply enough - and if I could be so bold as to say honestly enough -  to present a meaningful analysis of the state's situation.

Friends, we drown in news and opinions every day.  I get it.  The Internet is a wonderful thing, but it's often difficult to sort the wheat from the chaff when it comes to reliable data and accurate information.

That's one of the challenges we in the preparedness movement face - getting accurate information.  With all of the stories of the government stockpiling ammo, the European banks taking depositors' money, and evangelical Christians, Catholics and Mormons being named religious extremists in military training presentations, it's now more imperative than ever that we make sure we have as much objective, factually accurate data as we can get.  It's a difficult burden to bear, of course.  But if we are to be prepared for a wide spectrum of contingencies, we must seek the truth.  That's one of the many tasks on our to do lists.